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What will be the international community's primary response to Hezbollah-Israel tensions by end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Impose sanctions on Hezbollah • 25%
Impose sanctions on Israel • 25%
Facilitate peace talks • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Statements and actions from the UN, EU, and major world powers
Story
Hezbollah Orders Evacuation in Haifa, Tiberias After Drone Attack, Accuses IDF
Oct 13, 2024, 05:24 PM
Hezbollah has issued evacuation orders and warnings to residents in northern Israel, including Haifa and Tiberias, to stay away from areas near military installations. The group claims that the Israeli army is using settlers' homes in these regions as gathering points for its officers and soldiers. Additionally, Hezbollah has stated that Israeli military bases conducting operations against Lebanon are located within these settlements. The displacement zone for Israel has been expanded from 5 km to over 30 km, potentially affecting a large number of civilians. Following a drone attack on a base south of Haifa, Hezbollah reiterated that Israeli civilians are being used as 'human shields' and emphasized that the evacuation orders are in effect 'until further notice.'
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UN intervention • 25%
US mediation • 25%
EU sanctions • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Sanctions on Hezbollah • 25%
Condemnation of both parties • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Other • 25%
UN intervention • 25%
EU sanctions • 25%
Arab League mediation • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
UN sanctions on Israel • 25%
UN sanctions on Hezbollah • 25%
Mediation efforts • 25%
No significant action • 25%
UN intervention • 25%
Sanctions on Israel • 25%
Sanctions on Hezbollah • 25%
No significant action • 25%
UN intervention • 25%
US sanctions • 25%
EU sanctions • 25%
Other • 25%
Sanctions on Hezbollah • 25%
Sanctions on Israel • 25%
Calls for ceasefire • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
UN Sanctions • 25%
EU Sanctions • 25%
NATO Involvement • 25%
No Significant Action • 25%
UN imposes sanctions on Israel • 25%
UN imposes sanctions on Hezbollah • 25%
Both receive sanctions • 25%
No sanctions imposed • 25%
UN sanctions on Hezbollah • 25%
International peacekeeping forces deployed • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations leading to ceasefire • 25%
No significant action taken • 25%
UN imposes sanctions • 25%
NATO intervenes • 25%
EU imposes sanctions • 25%
No significant international action • 25%
Sanctions on Hezbollah • 25%
Sanctions on Israel • 25%
Call for peace talks • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Sanctions against Hezbollah • 25%
Sanctions against Israel • 25%
Mediation efforts by UN or other international bodies • 25%
No significant international response • 25%