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What will be the influence of Moscow on Belarusian decisions regarding troop deployment by December 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Complete withdrawal of troops • 25%
Partial withdrawal of troops • 25%
No withdrawal of troops • 25%
Increased troop presence • 25%
Verified reports from international news agencies and official government statements
Story
Ukraine Warns Belarus Over Troop and Wagner Mercenary Buildup at Border
Aug 25, 2024, 05:48 PM
Ukraine has issued a warning to Belarus as Belarusian armed forces and Wagner mercenaries have been observed massing near the Ukrainian border. The Ukrainian Ministry of Foreign Affairs has demanded the withdrawal of these forces, which are reportedly being deployed under the pretense of military exercises. The concentration of troops and equipment is taking place in the Gomel region, north of Kyiv and Chernobyl. Ukraine has cautioned Belarusian officials against making decisions under Moscow's influence that could lead to tragic consequences for Belarus.
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Continued support for Russian military presence • 25%
Request for reduction of foreign military presence • 25%
Neutral stance with no changes • 25%
Increased cooperation with NATO • 25%
Increased Air Defense Budget • 25%
Stronger Alliance with Russia • 25%
Stronger Alliance with NATO • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Worsened relations • 25%
No change • 25%
Military alliance • 25%
Increased support to Belarus • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Diplomatic efforts • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Russia • 25%
China • 25%
Western countries • 25%
Other • 25%
Sanctions by the EU • 25%
Sanctions by the US • 25%
UN condemnation • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%