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Will there be increased military activity in Belarus by October 31, 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from major news agencies, official government statements
Story
Belarus Uses Air Force to Down Russian Shahed Drone for First Time
Aug 29, 2024, 08:05 AM
In a significant development, Belarus has reportedly used its air force to shoot down a Russian Shahed drone for the first time. The incident occurred on the night of August 29, at 03:30, when a Russian drone, part of an attack on Ukraine, accidentally entered Belarusian airspace in the Yelsk district. Belarusian aviation, including fighter jets, was scrambled following an order from President Alexander Lukashenko. The drone was tracked for approximately 20 minutes before being shot down over the Homiel region. This marks a notable moment in the ongoing tensions involving Belarus, Russia, and Ukraine.
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Sanctions by the EU • 25%
Sanctions by the US • 25%
UN condemnation • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Interception of another drone • 25%
Ground troop movement • 25%
Airstrike on Russian targets • 25%
Naval engagement • 25%
Condemnation by the UN • 25%
Sanctions by the EU • 25%
Support from Russia • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
