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What will be the impact on the Israeli Prime Minister's political standing due to the ceasefire?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased approval ratings • 25%
Decreased approval ratings • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Prime Minister steps down or is replaced • 25%
Opinion polls and political analysis from reputable sources
Story
Israel Approves Six-Week Ceasefire; Hostage Exchange of 33 for 1,904 Starts Sunday
Jan 18, 2025, 07:29 AM
Israel's government has approved a ceasefire agreement with Hamas in the Gaza Strip, set to begin at 6:30 am GMT on Sunday and last for six weeks. The agreement, mediated by Qatar, Egypt, and the United States, includes the release of 33 Israeli hostages held by Hamas in exchange for the release of 1,904 Palestinian prisoners held by Israel, including women and young men up to 25 years old. The Israeli cabinet voted in favor of the agreement after lengthy deliberations, with 24 ministers supporting and 8 opposing. The Israel Defense Forces announced preparations to implement the agreement, with the first hostages expected to be released after 4 pm on Sunday. The exchange will take place over the first phase of the agreement, with further details to be announced upon completion.
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Other outcome • 25%
Strengthens Netanyahu's political standing • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Weakens Netanyahu's political standing • 25%
Mostly negative • 25%
Mostly positive • 25%
Mixed • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Indifferent • 25%
Mixed Opinions • 25%
Mostly Opposed • 25%
Mostly Supportive • 25%
Postponed • 34%
Approved • 33%
Rejected • 33%
Opposed • 25%
Supportive • 25%
No official stance • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Extension of ceasefire • 25%
Resumption of hostilities • 25%
New negotiations • 25%
Ceasefire holds • 25%
Ceasefire broken • 25%
Ceasefire extended • 25%
Other • 25%
Slightly weakened • 25%
Improved standing • 25%
Significantly weakened • 25%
Unchanged standing • 25%
Evenly split • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Majority support • 25%
Majority oppose • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Mixed opinions • 25%
Worsened • 25%
Improved • 25%
Modified • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Approved • 25%
Delayed • 25%
Partial agreement with modifications • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
60-day ceasefire agreed • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Strengthens Netanyahu's party • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Leads to coalition changes • 25%
Weakens Netanyahu's party • 25%