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What will be the impact on the Israeli government following the September 2024 Gaza school airstrike by end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Government remains unchanged • 25%
Government faces significant protests • 25%
Government undergoes leadership change • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements, news reports, or government actions
Story
Israeli Airstrike on Gaza School Kills 22, Including 13 Children and 6 Women
Sep 21, 2024, 01:14 PM
An Israeli airstrike on a school sheltering displaced families in the Al-Zeitoun neighborhood of Gaza City on Saturday has resulted in at least 22 fatalities, according to the Gaza Health Ministry. The victims included 13 children, six women, and an unborn child, with 30 others injured. The Israeli military stated that the target was a Hamas command center. The Gaza Civil Defense reported that the casualties included children and women, with some children requiring amputations due to their injuries.
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Prime Minister Resigns • 25%
New Coalition Formed • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Other • 25%
Resignation of a key official • 25%
Protests in Israel • 25%
Increased military actions • 25%
No significant political fallout • 25%
Increased support for current government • 25%
Decreased support for current government • 25%
No significant change in support • 25%
Government faces significant political challenges • 25%
Formal condemnation by the UN • 25%
Sanctions imposed on Israel • 25%
No significant action taken • 25%
Mediation efforts initiated • 25%
UN issues condemnation • 25%
EU imposes sanctions • 25%
US issues a statement of concern • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Condemnation by the United Nations • 25%
Condemnation by the European Union • 25%
Condemnation by the United States • 25%
No formal condemnation • 25%
Condemnation from UN • 25%
Condemnation from EU • 25%
Condemnation from Arab League • 25%
No significant condemnation • 25%
Condemnation of Israel • 25%
Support for Israel • 25%
Calls for ceasefire • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Sanctions against Israel • 25%
Condemnation without sanctions • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other • 25%
Israel found guilty of war crimes • 25%
Israel cleared of war crimes • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
No significant legal action taken • 25%
UN Condemnation • 25%
EU Sanctions • 25%
US Diplomatic Action • 25%
No Significant Action • 25%
Continued airstrikes with increasing casualties • 25%
Decreased airstrikes with fewer casualties • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%