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What will be the impact on oil prices by May 2025 due to U.S. deployment?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant increase (>10%) • 25%
Moderate increase (5-10%) • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decrease • 25%
Oil price reports from financial news outlets like Bloomberg or Financial Times
Story
U.S. Deploys 12 B-52 Bombers and Warships to Middle East in Warning to Iran
Nov 1, 2024, 10:26 PM
Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin has ordered the deployment of additional U.S. military assets to the Middle East, including 12 B-52 strategic bombers, tanker aircraft, Navy destroyers, fighter squadrons, and ballistic missile defense destroyers. This move aims to bolster the U.S. presence in the region as the aircraft carrier USS Abraham Lincoln and its accompanying warships are preparing to depart. The deployments, which will begin to arrive in the coming days, serve as a warning to Iran amid heightened tensions. Pentagon Press Secretary Maj. Gen. Pat Ryder confirmed the orders, emphasizing the U.S. commitment to protect its citizens and forces in the Middle East.
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Oil prices increase significantly • 25%
Oil prices decrease significantly • 25%
Oil prices remain stable • 25%
Oil prices fluctuate but stabilize • 25%
Oil prices increase by more than 10% • 25%
Oil prices increase by less than 10% • 25%
Oil prices remain stable • 25%
Oil prices decrease • 25%
U.S. sanctions on Iran • 25%
OPEC production changes • 25%
Russian oil supply • 25%
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OPEC+ production decisions • 25%
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Technological advancements in energy • 25%
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Significant increase (>20%) • 25%
Moderate increase (10-20%) • 25%
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No significant change • 25%
Decrease • 25%
Geopolitical tensions • 25%
OPEC+ production changes • 25%
Global economic conditions • 25%
Other factors • 25%
Increase above $80 per barrel • 25%
Remain between $70 and $80 per barrel • 25%
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Fluctuate without clear trend • 25%
Significant increase • 25%
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No significant change • 25%
Volatile fluctuations • 25%
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No significant change • 25%