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What will be the impact on Israeli-Palestinian peace talks due to the Tarqumiyah checkpoint shooting by December 31, 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Talks postponed • 25%
Talks canceled • 25%
No change • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements, news reports
Story
Shooting at Tarqumiyah Checkpoint Kills Two Israelis, Three Police Officers
Sep 1, 2024, 09:51 AM
A shooting attack occurred at the Tarqumiyah checkpoint near Hebron, between Southern Israel and the West Bank. Initial reports indicate that at least two Israelis were killed, and three Israeli police officers were shot dead. The incident has resulted in at least three casualties in serious condition, according to medical sources.
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Peace talks will be suspended • 25%
Peace talks will continue with increased tension • 25%
New peace talks will be initiated • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Increased hostilities • 25%
Other • 25%
Formal ceasefire agreement • 25%
Temporary ceasefire • 25%
No ceasefire agreement • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Peace talks initiated but no agreement reached • 25%
Peace talks initiated and preliminary agreement reached • 25%
Peace talks initiated and comprehensive agreement reached • 25%
No peace talks initiated • 25%
Successful ceasefire • 25%
Partial ceasefire • 25%
No ceasefire • 25%
Renewed conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Partial agreement on specific issues • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Partial agreement • 25%
Full peace treaty • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
New security checkpoints • 25%
Public awareness campaign • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Permanent ceasefire • 25%
Temporary ceasefire • 25%
No ceasefire • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire talks continue without agreement • 25%
Ceasefire talks break down completely • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Increased violence • 25%
Diplomatic efforts • 25%
Status quo • 25%
De-escalation • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Hostage release without ceasefire • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other • 25%
Hostages released, no ceasefire • 25%
Hostages released, ceasefire agreed • 25%
No hostages released, ongoing conflict • 25%
Other outcome • 25%