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What will be the impact on Inflection AI's staff retention following the CMA probe by December 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant staff departures • 25%
Minor staff departures • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Staff increase • 25%
Official announcement from Inflection AI or industry reports
Story
UK CMA Launches Antitrust Probe into Microsoft’s Hiring of Inflection AI Staff Under Merger Rules
Jul 16, 2024, 12:20 PM
The UK's Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) has launched a formal antitrust probe into Microsoft Corp's hiring of former employees from AI startup Inflection AI. The probe will examine Microsoft's investment in Inflection AI and the associated arrangements between the two companies under merger rules. The CMA has set a deadline of September 11 to decide whether to proceed with a more in-depth investigation. This move comes as part of the UK's broader efforts to scrutinize potential anti-competitive practices in the tech sector.
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No further action • 25%
In-depth investigation • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Penalties imposed • 25%
No further action • 25%
In-depth investigation • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Penalties imposed • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Penalties imposed • 25%
Investigation extended • 25%
No action • 25%
Settlement • 25%
Penalties • 25%
Other • 25%
Proceed with in-depth investigation • 25%
Close investigation with no further action • 25%
Impose initial penalties • 25%
Request further information • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
New AI products launched • 25%
Improvement in existing AI products • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased competition • 25%
Accelerated innovation • 25%
Regulatory scrutiny • 25%
Market consolidation • 25%