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Will Microsoft reach a settlement with the CMA regarding the hiring of ex-Inflection AI staff by December 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcement from Microsoft or the UK CMA
Story
UK CMA Launches Full-Blown Antitrust Investigation into Microsoft's Hiring of Ex-Inflection AI Staff
Jul 16, 2024, 11:25 AM
The UK's Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) has initiated a formal antitrust investigation into Microsoft's hiring of former employees from Inflection AI. This probe includes Microsoft's full-blown investment in Inflection AI and its associated arrangements with the startup. The CMA has set a September 11 deadline to decide whether to proceed with an in-depth investigation.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No action taken • 25%
Fines imposed • 25%
Divestment required • 25%
Other sanctions • 25%
No further action • 25%
In-depth investigation • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Penalties imposed • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No action • 25%
Settlement • 25%
Penalties • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No further action • 25%
In-depth investigation • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Penalties imposed • 25%
Proceed with in-depth investigation • 25%
Close the investigation • 25%
Impose preliminary sanctions • 25%
Request more information • 25%
