Loading...
Market
What will be the impact of X's algorithm on voter turnout in Nov 5 election?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased turnout • 25%
Decreased turnout • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Unclear impact • 25%
Official election turnout data and analysis from reputable research organizations
Story
WSJ Finds Musk-era X Algorithm Pushes Trump-Leaning Political Content to New Users Ahead of Nov. 5 Election
Oct 29, 2024, 02:12 PM
A Wall Street Journal (WSJ) analysis has found that the Musk-era algorithm of X, formerly known as Twitter, is pushing political content to new users regardless of their interests. The WSJ experiment revealed that accounts showing interests in nonpolitical topics such as crafts, sports, and cooking were inundated with partisan posts that lean toward Donald Trump and cast doubt on the integrity of the upcoming November 5 election. This experiment highlights concerns over the platform's role in shaping political discourse and influencing public opinion ahead of the election.
View original story
Similar markets
Significant impact on voter turnout • 25%
Minor impact on voter turnout • 25%
No impact on voter turnout • 25%
Data inconclusive • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Increased Republican turnout • 25%
Increased Democratic turnout • 25%
Increased independent turnout • 25%
Increase in turnout • 25%
Decrease in turnout • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Data inconclusive • 25%
Significant increase in student voter turnout • 25%
Significant decrease in student voter turnout • 25%
No significant change in student voter turnout • 25%
Data unavailable or inconclusive • 25%
Increase in voter turnout • 25%
Decrease in voter turnout • 25%
No significant change in voter turnout • 25%
Other • 25%
Increase • 25%
Decrease • 25%
No Change • 25%
Data Not Available • 25%
Significant increase • 25%
Moderate increase • 25%
No change • 25%
Decrease • 25%
Increase in turnout • 25%
Decrease in turnout • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Data unavailable • 25%
Increased turnout • 25%
Decreased turnout • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Significant Increase • 25%
Moderate Increase • 25%
No Change • 25%
Decrease • 25%
Significant impact on election outcome • 25%
Moderate impact on election outcome • 25%
Minimal impact on election outcome • 25%
No impact on election outcome • 25%
Turnout increases • 25%
Turnout decreases • 25%
Turnout remains the same • 25%
Data inconclusive • 25%