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What will be the impact of the High Court ruling on UK-EU relations by the end of 2025?
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Illegal Migration Act 2023•Northern Ireland•EU•Protocol•Windsor Framework•Good Friday Agreement•Donaldson Deal•DUP
Resolution / Starting Odds
Improved relations • 33%
Unchanged relations • 34%
Worsened relations • 33%
Analysis from political experts, official statements from the UK and EU
Story
NI Court Blocks Illegal Migration Act Citing EU Law, Windsor Framework
May 13, 2024, 10:29 AM
The High Court of Northern Ireland has ruled against the application of the Illegal Migration Act 2023 in Northern Ireland, citing conflicts with EU law supremacy as per the Protocol and the human rights provisions of the Windsor Framework and the Good Friday Agreement. The court's decision, which challenges the provisions of the Donaldson Deal endorsed by the DUP, asserts that certain aspects of the act, including deportations, are incompatible with established agreements that hold legal precedence in the region. This landmark ruling is expected to be challenged by the government.
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Relations worsen • 33%
Relations improve • 33%
No significant change • 34%
Major policy overhaul • 33%
Minor adjustments • 33%
No significant impact • 33%
Improve • 33%
Worsen • 33%
Remain unchanged • 34%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic actions • 25%
Military support adjustments • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Relations remain unchanged • 33%
Relations worsen • 33%
Relations improve • 34%
Significant overhaul of asylum policy • 33%
Minor adjustments to existing policy • 33%
No change in policy • 34%
Adopt similar measures • 33%
Uphold the Illegal Migration Act • 33%
No significant change • 34%
Deterioration of diplomatic relations • 25%
No change in relations • 25%
Strengthening of diplomatic relations • 25%
New agreements signed • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Critical • 25%
No public reaction • 25%
Further Deterioration • 34%
Stabilization • 33%
Improvement • 33%
Increased border patrols • 25%
New bilateral agreements with the UK • 25%
Financial aid to UK • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Improved relations • 33%
Unchanged relations • 33%
Worsened relations • 34%