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What will be the impact of the 15% pay rise deal on rail strikes by end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant reduction in strikes • 25%
Moderate reduction in strikes • 25%
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Increase in strikes • 25%
News reports and official announcements from Aslef or the government
Story
UK Train Drivers Secure 15% Pay Rise; LNER Strikes Continue
Aug 16, 2024, 05:08 AM
The UK train drivers' union, Aslef, has reached a deal with the government to end a long-running pay dispute, which has caused rail strikes for over two years. The agreement includes a three-year pay increase of 15% with no conditions attached, raising the average train driver's salary from £60,000 to £69,000. This deal will be put to a member referendum for approval. Despite this agreement, train drivers on the London North Eastern Railway (LNER) have announced a series of 22 strikes every weekend from the end of August until November, citing issues unrelated to pay, such as a breakdown in industrial relations and management practices.
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Significantly reduced • 25%
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Before September 30, 2024 • 33%
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