Loading...
Market
What will be the impact of January 6 pardons on 2026 midterms?
1
Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant impact favoring Republicans • 25%
Significant impact favoring Democrats • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Election results and analysis by political analysts
Story
JD Vance Clarifies January 6 Pardons: Peaceful Protesters Treated Harshly by Garland's DOJ Should Be Pardoned, Not Violent Ones
Jan 12, 2025, 12:55 PM
Vice President-elect JD Vance has clarified his stance on the potential pardoning of individuals involved in the January 6, 2021, US Capitol riot. Vance stated that those who protested peacefully and were treated harshly by the Department of Justice under Attorney General Merrick Garland should be pardoned. However, he emphasized that individuals who engaged in violent acts during the riot should 'obviously' not receive pardons. This position tempers President-elect Donald Trump's broader promise to pardon all protesters involved in the event. Vance's comments were made during an interview on Fox News, highlighting a nuanced approach to the issue of pardons for January 6 defendants.
View original story
Similar markets
No significant change • 25%
Decrease by more than 5% • 25%
Fluctuates but ends stable • 25%
Increase by more than 5% • 25%
Opposition from Republicans, support from Democrats • 25%
Support from both parties • 25%
Opposition from both parties • 25%
Support from Republicans, opposition from Democrats • 25%
Majority support • 25%
No significant public opinion • 25%
Evenly split • 25%
Majority oppose • 25%
Indifferent • 25%
Mostly supportive • 25%
Mostly opposed • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
All pardoned • 25%
None pardoned • 25%
Pardons delayed • 25%
Some pardoned • 25%
Negative impact • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Minor positive impact • 25%
Major positive impact • 25%
Indifferent • 25%
Mostly opposed • 25%
Mostly supportive • 25%
Divided • 25%
Selective pardons issued • 33%
No pardons issued • 34%
Mass pardons issued • 33%
Both Ratings Decrease • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Trump's Rating Increases • 25%
Biden's Rating Increases • 25%
No pardons granted • 25%
Some proposed pardons granted • 25%
All proposed pardons granted • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Positive impact for Democrats • 25%
Negative impact for Democrats • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Mixed impact • 25%
Decreased support for Trump • 25%
Mixed opinions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased support for Trump • 25%