Loading...
Market
Outcome of Trump's pardons for January 6 rioters by January 2026
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
All proposed pardons granted • 25%
Some proposed pardons granted • 25%
No pardons granted • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Official pardon records from the White House or Department of Justice
Story
Trump to Pardon January 6 Rioters, Criticizes J6 Committee on First Day
Dec 8, 2024, 03:50 PM
Donald Trump has announced his intention to act on pardoning individuals involved in the January 6, 2021, Capitol riot on his first day in office. Trump stated he would be 'acting very quickly' to issue these pardons, emphasizing that some defendants have been imprisoned for years in what he described as 'filthy, disgusting' conditions. He also suggested that members of the January 6 House committee 'should go to jail' instead. This move comes as part of Trump's broader plan to address the aftermath of the Capitol riot, where he aims to use his presidential powers to grant clemency to those he considers to have been unfairly treated by the justice system.
View original story
Similar markets
Some pardoned • 25%
None pardoned • 25%
All pardoned • 25%
Pardons delayed • 25%
Mixed outcomes • 25%
Pardons upheld • 25%
No legal challenges • 25%
Pardons overturned • 25%
Pardons Overturned • 25%
Settlement Reached • 25%
No Legal Action • 25%
Pardons Upheld • 25%
Pardons issued after first hour • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Pardons issued within first hour • 25%
No pardons issued • 25%
0-10 • 25%
More than 100 • 25%
51-100 • 25%
11-50 • 25%
None • 25%
11-50 individuals • 25%
1-10 individuals • 25%
More than 50 individuals • 25%