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What will be the impact of Google's AI argument in AdTech case by mid-2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
AI argument leads to case dismissal • 25%
AI argument leads to reduced penalties • 25%
AI argument has no impact • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Court rulings or official statements from the Department of Justice
Story
DOJ Seeks Google's Divestment of Chrome and Android in Antitrust Push
Nov 28, 2024, 08:44 PM
The U.S. Department of Justice is pursuing a groundbreaking antitrust action against Google, aiming to force the company to divest its Chrome browser and potentially its Android operating system to end its search monopoly. This move could significantly alter the internet's power balance. During closing arguments in the ongoing AdTech case, Google has subpoenaed AI rivals such as OpenAI, Perplexity, and Microsoft to demonstrate that AI-powered search tools are increasing competition, as the judge entertains AI remedies.
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Significant negative impact • 25%
Moderate negative impact • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Positive impact • 25%
Significant restructuring • 25%
Minor adjustments • 25%
No change • 25%
Other impact • 25%
AI recognized as increasing competition • 25%
AI recognized as neutral • 25%
AI recognized as reducing competition • 25%
No significant AI impact recognized • 25%
Increase • 25%
Decrease • 25%
No Change • 25%
Significant Decrease (>10%) • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Chrome sale approved • 25%
Default search payments ended • 25%
Android separation ordered • 25%
No major changes • 25%
Google sells two ad services • 25%
Google pays financial penalties • 25%
Lawsuit dropped • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Positive impact • 25%
Negative impact • 25%
Neutral impact • 25%
Uncertain impact • 25%
Google's remedies accepted • 25%
Chrome sale required • 25%
Case settled with other terms • 25%
Case ongoing • 25%
Ruling upheld • 25%
Ruling overturned • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Positive impact on Apple • 25%
Negative impact on Apple • 25%
No impact on Apple • 25%
Mixed impact on Apple • 25%
Google's market share decreases • 25%
Google's market share remains stable • 25%
Google's market share increases • 25%
Insufficient data to determine • 25%