Loading...
Market
What will be the impact of Biden's debate performance on his campaign by September 30, 2024?
1
Resolution / Starting Odds
No significant change • 25%
Major campaign strategy change • 25%
New candidate enters race • 25%
Biden withdraws • 25%
Official campaign announcements or major news outlets
Story
Biden Faces Pressure After Poor Debate Performance; Trump Leads by Six Points in Polls
Jul 3, 2024, 06:27 PM
President Joe Biden is facing significant pressure following a dismal debate performance against Republican contender Donald Trump. Despite calls for him to step aside, the White House has confirmed that the Democratic incumbent is not considering withdrawing from the presidential race. The debate performance has led to a drop in Biden's poll numbers among swing voters, with a New York Times/Siena poll showing Trump ahead by six points. Overall, 74 percent of voters view Biden as too old for the job. The White House has downplayed claims of Biden's exhaustion, attributing his performance to travel and a cold. The debate has also sparked discussions on Wall Street, where traders are adjusting investments based on the potential impact of a Trump presidency.
View original story
Similar markets
Significantly improved • 25%
Slightly improved • 25%
No change • 25%
Worsened • 25%
Shift towards Trump • 33%
No significant change • 34%
Shift towards Biden • 33%
Significant drop (>5%) • 33%
Minor drop (1-5%) • 33%
No significant change • 33%
Above 50% • 25%
40%-50% • 25%
30%-40% • 25%
Below 30% • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Excellent • 25%
Good • 25%
Average • 25%
Poor • 25%
Positive impact • 33%
Negative impact • 33%
No significant impact • 33%
Mostly positive • 25%
Mostly negative • 25%
Mixed • 25%
Indifferent • 25%
Tim Walz drops out • 25%
Tim Walz remains but faces significant backlash • 25%
Tim Walz remains with no significant backlash • 25%
Other • 25%
Major overhaul • 25%
Minor adjustments • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Positive • 33%
Neutral • 33%
Negative • 33%