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What will be the extent of damage to the Yuzhnodonbasskaya No. 3 mine infrastructure by March 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Minor damage • 25%
Moderate damage • 25%
Severe damage • 25%
Total destruction • 25%
Verified reports from major news outlets such as BBC, Reuters, or CNN
Story
Russian Forces Demolish 115-Meter Tower of Yuzhnodonbasskaya (Pivdennodonbaska) No. 3 Mine Near Ugledar
Sep 15, 2024, 08:29 PM
Russian forces have demolished the tower of the Yuzhnodonbasskaya No. 3 mine near Ugledar, Ukraine. The explosion, which targeted a 115-meter tower, caused extensive damage to the mine. The area had been heavily mined by Ukrainian troops before their retreat, leaving no opportunity for safe defusal. Russian troops have entered the fortified area and are attempting to gain a foothold. The mine, also known as Pivdennodonbaska 3, is located near the city of Vuhledar, and the main shaft was discovered to be heavily mined.
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Controlled by Russia • 25%
Controlled by Ukraine • 25%
No clear control • 25%
Other • 25%
Minimal damage • 25%
Moderate damage • 25%
Severe damage • 25%
Critical damage • 25%
Minimal damage (repairs completed within 1 month) • 25%
Moderate damage (repairs completed within 3 months) • 25%
Severe damage (repairs completed within 6 months) • 25%
Critical damage (repairs take longer than 6 months) • 25%
Minimal damage • 25%
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Severe damage • 25%
Complete recovery • 25%
Fully operational • 25%
Partially operational • 25%
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Destroyed • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Minor (less than 10 buildings) • 33%
Moderate (10 to 30 buildings) • 33%
Severe (more than 30 buildings) • 33%
Russian Forces Secure Full Control • 25%
Ukrainian Forces Reclaim Control • 25%
Continued Stalemate • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Less than 500 square meters • 25%
500 to 1000 square meters • 25%
1000 to 2000 square meters • 25%
More than 2000 square meters • 25%
Minor damage • 25%
Moderate damage • 25%
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Catastrophic damage • 25%
Minimal damage (less than 10% of infrastructure affected) • 25%
Moderate damage (10%-30% of infrastructure affected) • 25%
Significant damage (30%-50% of infrastructure affected) • 25%
Severe damage (more than 50% of infrastructure affected) • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Temporary shutdown of the plant • 25%
Permanent shutdown of the plant • 25%
Increase in radiation levels • 25%