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Market
What will be the extent of damage to energy infrastructure in Konotop by December 31, 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Minimal damage (repairs completed within 1 month) • 25%
Moderate damage (repairs completed within 3 months) • 25%
Severe damage (repairs completed within 6 months) • 25%
Critical damage (repairs take longer than 6 months) • 25%
Local news reports, official statements from Konotop authorities
Story
Shahed Drone Attack Devastates Konotop in Sumy Region, Injures 14
Sep 15, 2024, 12:56 PM
A large-scale Russian drone attack on the northern Ukrainian town of Konotop in the Sumy region has resulted in significant damage to energy infrastructure and numerous civilian injuries. The attack, which occurred overnight, targeted residential buildings, schools, and medical institutions. Local authorities report that at least 14 people have been injured, with some in critical condition. The city is currently without electricity, water supply, and cell service. Emergency services are actively working at the scene to manage the aftermath of the attack. The drones used in the attack were identified as Shahed drones. Mayor Artem Semenikhin confirmed that 13 people were injured, including teenagers.
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Similar markets
Minimal damage • 25%
Moderate damage • 25%
Severe damage • 25%
Critical damage • 25%
Minimal damage • 25%
Moderate damage • 25%
Severe damage • 25%
Complete recovery • 25%
Minor damage • 25%
Moderate damage • 25%
Severe damage • 25%
Catastrophic damage • 25%
Minimal damage (less than 10% of infrastructure affected) • 25%
Moderate damage (10%-30% of infrastructure affected) • 25%
Significant damage (30%-50% of infrastructure affected) • 25%
Severe damage (more than 50% of infrastructure affected) • 25%
Minor (less than 10 buildings) • 33%
Moderate (10 to 30 buildings) • 33%
Severe (more than 30 buildings) • 33%
Fully operational • 25%
Partially operational • 25%
Non-operational • 25%
Destroyed • 25%
Less than 500 square meters • 25%
500 to 1000 square meters • 25%
1000 to 2000 square meters • 25%
More than 2000 square meters • 25%
Minimal • 25%
Moderate • 25%
Severe • 25%
Catastrophic • 25%
Minimal (less than $10M) • 25%
Moderate ($10M - $50M) • 25%
Severe ($50M - $100M) • 25%
Catastrophic (more than $100M) • 25%
Minimal • 25%
Moderate • 25%
Severe • 25%
Catastrophic • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Significant damage • 25%
Minor damage • 25%
No notable damage • 25%
Reinforced defenses • 25%