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What will be the economic impact of Nippon Steel's acquisition of U.S. Steel if approved by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Positive Impact • 25%
Negative Impact • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Unclear Impact • 25%
Economic reports or analysis from credible financial institutions
Story
Biden to Decide on Nippon Steel's $15 Billion Acquisition of U.S. Steel in 15 Days After CFIUS Deadlock
Dec 24, 2024, 02:58 AM
The Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS) has failed to reach a consensus regarding Nippon Steel's proposed $15 billion acquisition of U.S. Steel, citing national security concerns. This deadlock has resulted in the decision being referred to President Joe Biden, who has historically opposed the deal. The president is expected to make a ruling within 15 days. Nippon Steel has expressed confidence that the acquisition will be approved if its merits are fairly evaluated. The situation has drawn attention from various stakeholders, including local officials who argue that the deal is crucial for economic stability. The outcome remains uncertain as Biden's administration weighs the implications of the acquisition against national security considerations.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Deal Blocked by CFIUS • 25%
Deal Withdrawn by Nippon Steel • 25%
Deal Blocked by Biden • 25%
Deal Approved • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Strained U.S.-China relations • 25%
Improved U.S.-Japan relations • 25%
Other impacts • 25%
Approved • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Deal withdrawn by Nippon Steel • 25%
Blocked by U.S. government • 25%
Acquisition blocked • 25%
Acquisition modified • 25%
Acquisition delayed • 25%
Acquisition completed as planned • 25%
Approved without conditions • 25%
Approved with conditions • 25%
Blocked • 25%
Withdrawn by Nippon Steel • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Approved without conditions • 25%
Postponed • 25%
Approved with conditions • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No significant change • 25%
Decrease in investments • 25%
Increase in investments • 25%
Uncertain • 25%
Cleveland-Cliffs • 25%
US Steel • 25%
Nippon Steel • 25%
Other stakeholders • 25%
Other • 25%
Negotiation for a new deal • 25%
Withdrawal from U.S. market • 25%
Legal action • 25%