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Outcome of U.S. Steel sale to Nippon Steel by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Approved • 25%
Blocked by U.S. government • 25%
Deal withdrawn by Nippon Steel • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from the U.S. government, CFIUS, or Nippon Steel
Story
Trump, Post-Election, Vows to Block U.S. Steel Sale to Japan's Nippon Steel
Dec 3, 2024, 02:42 AM
Former President Donald Trump, who has won the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election, has announced his intention to block the proposed acquisition of U.S. Steel by Nippon Steel of Japan. Trump stated his opposition to the deal on Truth Social, emphasizing his commitment to prevent the sale of the iconic American company to foreign ownership. He plans to use a series of tariffs and tax incentives to strengthen U.S. Steel and revive the industry upon taking office. The deal is currently under review by the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS) and has already faced opposition from the Biden administration.
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Withdrawn by Nippon Steel • 25%
Approved without conditions • 25%
Approved with conditions • 25%
Blocked by U.S. government • 25%
Withdrawn by Nippon Steel • 25%
Approved with conditions • 25%
Blocked • 25%
Approved without conditions • 25%
Deal Blocked by CFIUS • 25%
Deal Approved • 25%
Deal Withdrawn by Nippon Steel • 25%
Deal Blocked by Biden • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Blocked by CFIUS • 25%
Approved • 25%
Withdrawn by Nippon Steel • 25%
Approved with conditions • 25%
Postponed • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Approved without conditions • 25%
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Yes • 50%
Regulatory approval • 25%
Regulatory denial • 25%
Market conditions • 25%
Negotiation breakdown • 25%