Loading...
Market
What will be the change in Russian military strategy in Kursk by October 1, 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase in troop deployment • 25%
Decrease in troop deployment • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Verified reports from major news outlets and official military statements
Story
Ukraine Advances in Kursk, Russia Redeploys 5,000 Troops; Putin Orders Retake by Oct 1
Aug 20, 2024, 12:25 PM
The ongoing conflict in Russia's Kursk region has intensified as Ukraine continues its incursion that began on August 6, 2024. In response, Russia has redeployed 5,000 military personnel to the area and is reportedly moving troops from other regions to bolster its defenses. Ukrainian forces have advanced 28-35 kilometers and captured 93 settlements in the region. Russian President Vladimir Putin has ordered the expulsion of Ukrainian forces from Kursk by October 1, without diverting resources from other key areas where Russia is conducting offensives.
View original story
Similar markets
Increased air defenses • 25%
Ground offensive • 25%
Cyber warfare • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Russia controls entire region • 25%
Ukraine controls entire region • 25%
Region is contested • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Increased military reinforcements • 25%
Negotiation attempts with Ukraine • 25%
Retreat from the region • 25%
No significant change in strategy • 25%
Retreat from Kursk • 25%
Major counter-offensive • 25%
Negotiation for ceasefire • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Successful Russian advance • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Ukrainian counterattack • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Russian victory with territory gained • 25%
Stalemate with no significant territorial changes • 25%
Ukrainian victory with territory retained • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Successfully repels Ukrainian forces • 25%
Fails to repel Ukrainian forces • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Other outcome • 25%