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What will be the Biden administration's response to the Garpiya-3 drone program by March 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Sanctions against China • 25%
Diplomatic talks with China • 25%
Military aid to Ukraine • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Official announcements from the U.S. government or statements from the U.S. Department of State
Story
Russia Establishes Secret Long-Range Garpiya-3 Drone Program in China for Ukraine War
Sep 27, 2024, 01:46 PM
A recent report by Reuters indicates that a subsidiary of the Russian state-owned arms company Almaz-Antey has established a weapons program in China to develop and produce long-range Garpiya-3 attack drones for use in Ukraine. This development has raised concerns among U.S. officials and the Biden administration, who are worried about the implications of this previously undisclosed drone manufacturing agreement. Western officials have provided evidence that Chinese companies have been secretly supplying military attack drones to Russia, with the ultimate destination being Ukraine. This situation represents a significant breach of international sanctions by China, according to experts. The Chinese government has denied awareness of such a project. David Lammy has been urged to seek an explanation from the Chinese Ambassador. Reports indicate that these drones were sent for testing in 2023.
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Impose new sanctions on China • 25%
Increase military aid to Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations with China • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Deployment of federal resources • 25%
New federal drone regulations • 25%
Increased funding for local enforcement • 25%
No action • 25%
China found involved • 25%
China found not involved • 25%
Inconclusive results • 25%
No investigation • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Military de-escalation • 25%
Sanctions on SDF • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Ban on Chinese-manufactured drones • 25%
New regulations on foreign drones • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other measures • 25%
Increased military action • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Strengthen Drone Laws • 25%
Increase Military Patrols • 25%
Deploy New Technology • 25%
No Action • 25%
Increased surveillance • 25%
Deployment of counter-drone technology • 25%
Policy changes • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Sanctions on Russia • 25%
Sanctions on Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic intervention • 25%
No significant action • 25%