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What will be Russia's reaction to Germany's Patriot deployment in Poland by February 28, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Diplomatic Protest • 25%
Military Exercises Near Border • 25%
No Reaction • 25%
Other • 25%
Statements from Russian government officials or credible media reports
Story
Germany to Deploy Patriot Systems to Poland in January 2025 Amid $2.5 Billion Eastern Shield Project with 3,500 Barriers
Nov 30, 2024, 12:17 PM
Germany has offered to deploy Patriot air defense systems to Poland, set to begin in January 2025. This decision comes amid heightened tensions, as Russia has been testing missiles near Poland's borders. German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius stated that the deployment aims to protect a crucial logistics center in Poland that is vital for supplying materials to Ukraine. Concurrently, Poland is enhancing its border security through the 'Eastern Shield' initiative, which includes the installation of 3,500 concrete barriers along its border with Russia and plans to extend these fortifications to the border with Ukraine. Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk emphasized that this expansion is part of a broader strategy to ensure safety along the eastern borders, with an allocated budget of $2.5 billion for the project.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Request NATO intervention • 25%
Seek diplomatic resolutions • 25%
Increase own military capabilities • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Military response • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Military exercises • 25%
Diplomatic talks • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
No actions taken • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Closure of more consulates • 25%
Diplomatic protests • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased military actions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Military response or exercises • 25%
Diplomatic condemnations • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
No response • 25%
Military exercises • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Economic sanctions on Russia or Belarus • 25%
Increased military presence in Eastern Europe • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant response • 25%
