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What will be Poland's primary response to the sabotage operation by end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased military presence • 25%
Increased cybersecurity funding • 25%
International sanctions • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from the Polish government or international news agencies
Story
Poland Neutralizes Sabotage Operation by Russia and Belarus in 'De Facto Cyberwar'
Sep 9, 2024, 12:02 PM
Polish security services have successfully neutralized a sabotage operation orchestrated by Russia and Belarus. According to Deputy Prime Minister Krzysztof Gawkowski, saboteurs operating from Belarus in cooperation with Russia had infiltrated local and central government institutions, including state-owned companies implementing military contracts. The Polish government announced on September 9 that its security forces had broken up the group of saboteurs working for Russian and Belarusian security services. Poland's cybersecurity experts played a crucial role in foiling these attacks, which Poland described as a 'de facto cyberwar.'
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No action taken • 25%
Interception of missiles • 25%
Increased defensive measures • 25%
Diplomatic actions • 25%
Shoot down missiles before entering Polish airspace • 25%
Shoot down missiles only if they enter Polish airspace • 25%
Take no action • 25%
Other • 25%
Deny involvement • 33%
Admit involvement • 33%
No official stance • 34%
No significant action • 25%
Increased air patrols • 25%
Deployment of additional defense systems • 25%
Diplomatic protests or sanctions • 25%
Increase military presence • 25%
Seek NATO assistance • 25%
Conduct military drills • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Completed on time • 25%
Delayed but completed • 25%
Partially completed • 25%
Not completed • 25%
De-escalation and return to normal readiness • 25%
Continued high readiness without further escalation • 25%
Increase in military engagement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Closure of more consulates • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No actions taken • 25%
Interception without NATO consent • 25%
Interception with NATO consent • 25%
No interception • 25%
Other • 25%
Interception with NATO consent • 25%
Interception without NATO consent • 25%
No interception • 25%
Other military actions • 25%