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What will be North Korea's response to defections to Ukraine by mid-2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Condemnation • 25%
Military Action • 25%
Diplomatic Action • 25%
No Response • 25%
Official statements from North Korean government or international news agencies
Story
Nearly 200 Ex-North Korean Soldiers in South Korea Seek Deployment to Ukraine for Psychological Warfare
Oct 28, 2024, 10:28 AM
Nearly 200 former North Korean soldiers who defected to South Korea are seeking relocation to Ukraine to launch a psychological warfare campaign against their former comrades, who are reportedly assembling in Russia, according to the South China Morning Post. These ex-soldiers, with 7 to 10 years of military experience, aim to use their insider knowledge to influence North Korean troops. Ukraine is also trying to entice North Korean soldiers to defect by promising better living conditions in POW camps, including their own beds and regular meals.
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Supportive • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Condemnatory • 25%
No response • 25%
Increased military presence at the border • 25%
Diplomatic protest to South Korea • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other • 25%
New UN sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Highly successful • 25%
Moderately successful • 25%
Not successful • 25%
No campaign launched • 25%
New sanctions imposed • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Military response • 25%
No significant action • 25%
UN Security Council resolution • 25%
Increased military support to Ukraine • 25%
Economic sanctions against North Korea • 25%
No coordinated international response • 25%
New UN sanctions on North Korea • 25%
NATO increases military aid to Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Increase military presence at the border • 25%
Issue a formal protest to South Korea • 25%
Make a public statement condemning defections • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased sanctions on North Korea • 25%
Military action against North Korea • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
No significant response • 25%
New sanctions on North Korea • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Military aid to Ukraine • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Condemnation only • 25%
Sanctions on North Korea • 25%
Military support to Ukraine • 25%
No significant response • 25%