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What will be Matt Gaetz's political career status by end of 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Attorney General • 25%
Remains in Congress • 25%
Resigns from Congress • 25%
Other • 25%
Official government records or major news outlets
Story
Woman Testifies Rep. Matt Gaetz Had Sex with Her at 17 in DOJ Probe, ABC News Report
Nov 14, 2024, 09:08 PM
A woman testified before the House Ethics Committee that Rep. Matt Gaetz had sex with her when she was 17 years old, according to sources and an ABC News report. This testimony is part of the Department of Justice's (DOJ) ongoing investigation into Gaetz. The DOJ had previously investigated Gaetz for years, including allegations of obstruction, but notified him last year that no charges would be filed. Despite this, President-elect Trump recently nominated Gaetz for the position of Attorney General.
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Re-elected to Congress • 25%
Runs for different office • 25%
Resigns or removed • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Remains in Congress • 25%
Resigns • 25%
Removed from office • 25%
Runs for higher office • 25%
Resigns • 25%
Re-elected • 25%
Defeated in re-election • 25%
Expelled from Congress • 25%
Takes seat as planned • 25%
Announces resignation • 25%
Seat remains vacant • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Private Sector Job • 25%
Political Consulting • 25%
Media Role • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased significantly • 25%
Increased slightly • 25%
Remained the same • 25%
Decreased • 25%
Continues strong MAGA alignment • 25%
Moderates stance • 25%
Aligns with McCarthy faction • 25%
Other • 25%
Attorney General • 25%
Other federal position • 25%
State-level position • 25%
No new political role • 25%
Media Personality • 25%
Political Consultant • 25%
Think Tank Role • 25%
Other • 25%
Charges Filed • 25%
No Charges Filed • 25%
Settlement Reached • 25%
Other • 25%
No charges filed • 33%
Charged but acquitted • 33%
Charged and convicted • 34%