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What will be Joe Biden's campaign status by August 31, 2024?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Remains in the race • 33%
Withdraws from the race • 33%
Suspends campaign • 33%
Official announcements from Joe Biden or his campaign, major news outlets
Story
Senate Intelligence Chair Mark Warner Leads Effort to Urge Biden to Exit Presidential Race
Jul 5, 2024, 07:48 PM
Senator Mark R. Warner (D-Va.), chair of the Senate Intelligence Committee, is spearheading an effort to gather a group of Democratic senators to request President Joe Biden to withdraw from the presidential race. According to sources with direct knowledge of the situation, Warner is expressing concerns that Biden is no longer able to run a campaign capable of defeating former President Donald Trump. This initiative reflects growing sentiment among Democratic senators that Biden should not continue his candidacy. Warner has told others that he is deeply concerned about Biden's ability to run a competitive campaign.
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Similar markets
Remains in race • 33%
Withdraws from race • 33%
Replaced by another candidate • 33%
Continues as is • 33%
Steps down • 33%
Replaced by another candidate • 33%
Joe Biden is the nominee • 25%
Joe Biden withdraws before nomination • 25%
Another candidate is nominated • 25%
Nomination process delayed • 25%
Fully recovered • 25%
Partially recovered • 25%
Condition worsened • 25%
No information • 25%
Yes, he will run • 33%
No, he will not run • 33%
No decision yet • 34%
Remains the candidate • 33%
Withdraws and endorses a successor • 33%
Withdraws without endorsing a successor • 34%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Press conference • 25%
Public event • 25%
Televised address • 25%
Other • 25%
