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Market
What will be identified as the primary motive for the New Orleans truck attack by April 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Terrorism • 25%
Mental Health Issues • 25%
Political Motivation • 25%
Other • 25%
FBI or law enforcement reports
Story
Trump Links New Orleans Truck Attack to Illegal Immigration, FBI Probes ISIS Connection
Jan 1, 2025, 04:21 PM
Donald Trump, the president-elect of the United States, has linked a deadly truck attack in New Orleans to illegal immigration, a central issue in his election campaign. The attack, which occurred in the early hours of New Year's Day, involved a truck plowing into a crowd celebrating the New Year in the French Quarter of New Orleans, resulting in at least 10 deaths and 30 injuries. The FBI is investigating the incident as a potential act of terrorism and is probing possible connections to ISIS. The suspect, who was killed in a shootout with police, had driven the truck into the crowd. Trump, in a statement on Truth Social, reiterated his stance on immigration, claiming that 'criminals coming in are far worse than the criminals we have in our country.'
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Other • 25%
Mental Health Issues • 25%
Personal Vendetta • 25%
Terrorism • 25%
Personal vendetta • 25%
Mental illness • 25%
Other • 25%
Terrorism • 25%
Terrorism • 25%
Other • 25%
Personal grievance • 25%
Mental illness • 25%
Personal Grievance • 25%
Terrorism • 25%
Other • 25%
Mental Health Issues • 25%
Other • 25%
Terrorism • 25%
Political • 25%
Personal Vendetta • 25%
Unknown/Other • 25%
Personal vendetta • 25%
Hate crime • 25%
Terrorism • 25%
Religious Extremism • 25%
Political Motivation • 25%
Domestic Grievance • 25%
Other • 25%
Personal Grievance • 25%
Terrorism • 25%
Accidental • 25%
Other • 25%
Personal grievance • 25%
Not identified by deadline • 25%
Political • 25%
Religious • 25%
Terrorism • 25%
Political Motives • 25%
Mental Health Issues • 25%
Other • 25%
Personal grievances • 25%
Terrorism • 25%
Personal Vendetta • 25%
Mental Illness • 25%
Other/Unknown • 25%
Religious extremism • 25%
Political ideology • 25%
Other • 25%
Personal grievance • 25%
Other • 25%
Religious • 25%
Political • 25%