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Market
What will be identified as the primary cause of the Bayesian yacht sinking by March 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Mechanical failure • 25%
Human error • 25%
Sabotage • 25%
Other • 25%
Official investigation report from Italian authorities
Story
Italian Authorities Probe Manslaughter in Bayesian Yacht Sinking Killing Seven
Aug 24, 2024, 08:50 AM
Italian authorities have launched a manslaughter investigation into the sinking of the Bayesian superyacht off the coast of Sicily. The incident resulted in the deaths of seven people, including British technology tycoon Mike Lynch and his daughter Hannah. The investigation, led by Ambrogio Cartosio, public prosecutor of Termini Imerese, is examining multiple counts of culpable homicide. The sinking has prompted a detailed probe into the circumstances surrounding the disaster.
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Human Error • 25%
Mechanical Failure • 25%
Other • 25%
Natural causes (storm/tornado) • 25%
Human error • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Other • 25%
Storm-related structural failure • 25%
Human error • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Other • 25%
Freak storm • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Human error • 25%
Other • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Human error • 25%
Weather conditions • 25%
Other • 25%
Human error • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
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Storm/Weather conditions • 25%
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Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Human error • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Weather conditions • 25%
Other causes • 25%