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What will be Hezbollah's next major action following the airstrike on Ibrahim Aqil by January 31, 2025?
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Israel•Beirut•Ibrahim Aqil•Hezbollah•Aqil•Tahsin•Special Operations•Radwan Force•United States•Marine Barracks•Israeli•Lebanese
Resolution / Starting Odds
Military retaliation • 25%
Diplomatic response • 25%
Increased rhetoric • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Official statements from Hezbollah, major news outlets
Story
Israel Targets Senior Hezbollah Commander Ibrahim Aqil, Wanted for 1983 Bombings, in Beirut Airstrike
Sep 20, 2024, 01:22 PM
Israel conducted an airstrike in Beirut targeting Ibrahim Aqil, a senior Hezbollah commander. Aqil, also known as Tahsin, is the head of Hezbollah's Special Operations and the commander of the elite Radwan Force unit. He is wanted by the United States for his involvement in the 1983 bombings of the U.S. Embassy and Marine Barracks in Beirut. Multiple Israeli and Lebanese sources, including Israeli officials and security sources, confirmed Aqil was the target of the strike.
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Major military attack • 25%
Limited skirmishes • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation only • 25%
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Ceasefire agreement • 25%
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Other • 25%
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Increase in propaganda efforts • 25%
Seek diplomatic intervention • 25%
No significant action • 25%
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No significant action • 25%
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Rocket attack on Israel • 25%
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Other • 25%
Drone attack • 25%
Missile strike • 25%
Ground assault • 25%
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Military engagement • 25%
Diplomatic statement • 25%
No response • 25%
Other • 25%
Significant military retaliation • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other • 25%
Another rocket attack • 25%
Ground incursion • 25%
Increased border skirmishes • 25%
No significant military action • 25%