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What will be Hezbollah's next major action by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Retaliatory attack • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Public statement only • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Credible news reports or official statements from Hezbollah
Story
Israel Strikes Hezbollah Rocket Facility After Ceasefire Violation Hours After Agreement
Nov 28, 2024, 01:20 PM
Israel has accused Hezbollah of violating a ceasefire agreement just hours after it was declared, following the detection of terrorist activities in southern Lebanon. According to the Israel Defense Forces (IDF), Hezbollah operatives infiltrated restricted areas near the villages of Kafr Kila and Markaba. IDF troops identified the operatives, and a UAV fired a missile at their vehicle to drive them out. In response to a threat involving medium-range rockets stored at a Hezbollah facility, the IDF conducted an airstrike using fighter jets to neutralize it. The IDF remains stationed in southern Lebanon to enforce the ceasefire agreement.
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Rocket attacks on Israel • 25%
Diplomatic action • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other military actions • 25%
Another rocket attack on Israel • 25%
Ground incursion into Israel • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Another rocket attack • 25%
Ground incursion • 25%
Increased border skirmishes • 25%
No significant military action • 25%
Missile attack • 25%
Drone attack • 25%
Ground incursion • 25%
Other • 25%
Military retaliation • 25%
Diplomatic efforts • 25%
Internal restructuring • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Rocket Attack • 25%
Drone Attack • 25%
Ground Incursion • 25%
Other • 25%
Ground invasion • 33%
Missile attack • 33%
Naval attack • 33%
Significant attack on Israel • 25%
Significant attack elsewhere • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other action • 25%
Retaliatory attack on Israel • 25%
Increase in propaganda efforts • 25%
Seek diplomatic intervention • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Military engagement • 25%
Diplomatic statement • 25%
No response • 25%
Other • 25%
Rocket attack on Israel • 25%
Ground incursion into Israel • 25%
Aerial attack on Israel • 25%
Other • 25%
Another assassination attempt • 25%
Rocket attacks • 25%
Another drone attack • 25%
Rocket attack • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
No major action • 25%