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Market
What will be Commerzbank's market position post-UniCredit stake increase by December 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Remains second-largest private bank • 25%
Becomes largest private bank • 25%
Drops to third-largest • 25%
Other • 25%
Market reports and financial statements from Commerzbank
Story
UniCredit Raises Stake in Commerzbank to 28% Under CEO Andrea Orcel Amid Takeover Speculation
Dec 18, 2024, 08:09 AM
UniCredit has increased its stake in Commerzbank to approximately 28%, intensifying Chief Executive Officer Andrea Orcel's efforts to pursue the German lender. This move, which was executed through derivatives, raises speculation about a potential takeover of Germany's second-largest private bank. Despite the increase in stake, UniCredit has stated that this investment does not impact its offer for Banco BPM. The announcement has garnered attention across various financial news outlets, highlighting the strategic implications of this acquisition for both banks involved.
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No change in leadership • 25%
Change in CEO • 25%
Change in board composition • 25%
Major restructuring announced • 25%
Stake remains at 28% • 25%
Stake increases to 29.9% • 25%
Stake exceeds 29.9% • 25%
Stake decreases • 25%
Increased stake to 30% without takeover • 25%
Launched a takeover bid • 25%
Reduced stake below 28% • 25%
Maintained stake at 28% • 25%
Support takeover • 25%
Oppose takeover • 25%
Remain neutral • 25%
Call for independence • 25%
No regulatory action • 25%
Regulatory approval required • 25%
Regulatory investigation initiated • 25%
Regulatory restrictions imposed • 25%
Approved without conditions • 25%
Approved with conditions • 25%
Rejected • 25%
No decision by deadline • 25%
Permission granted • 25%
Permission denied • 25%
Decision pending • 25%
UniCredit withdraws request • 25%
Supportive of UniCredit's stake • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Opposed to UniCredit's stake • 25%
Initiated defensive measures • 25%
Approved full stake increase • 33%
Approved partial stake increase • 33%
Denied stake increase • 34%
Becomes largest bank in Italy • 25%
Remains second largest bank • 25%
Falls to third largest bank • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Approved • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Modified terms • 25%
No decision • 25%