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What will be cited as the primary reason for the U.S. State Department's updated Level 4 Travel Advisory for Lebanon by December 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Hezbollah-Israel conflict • 25%
Explosions throughout Lebanon • 25%
General security deterioration • 25%
Other specific reason • 25%
Official statements from the U.S. State Department
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US Issues Level 4 Travel Advisory on Saturday Night, Urges Citizens to Leave Lebanon Immediately
Sep 21, 2024, 08:51 PM
The United States has issued an updated Level 4 Travel Advisory for Lebanon, urging all American citizens to leave the country immediately while commercial flights are still available. The advisory, released by the U.S. State Department on Saturday night, highlights the unpredictable nature of the ongoing conflict between Hezbollah and Israel, as well as recent explosions throughout Lebanon. The U.S. Embassy in Beirut has emphasized that commercial options, currently at reduced capacity, may become unavailable if the security situation worsens, and it may not be able to assist citizens who remain in the country.
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Increased military activity • 25%
Political instability • 25%
Terrorism threats • 25%
Other • 25%
Potential Israeli strike • 25%
Regional instability • 25%
Direct threat to U.S. citizens • 25%
Other • 25%
Escalation in Israel-Hezbollah conflict • 25%
Direct threat to British nationals • 25%
General regional instability • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Saudi Arabia • 25%
Jordan • 25%
Kuwait • 25%
Germany • 25%
Security concerns • 25%
Political instability • 25%
Health-related issues • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Strengthen relations with Israel • 25%
Weaken relations with Israel • 25%
Strengthen relations with Hezbollah • 25%
Weaken relations with Hezbollah • 25%
Improved security situation • 25%
Successful diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Other • 25%
Security risks from Assad's forces • 25%
Threat from rebel forces • 25%
General instability in the region • 25%
Other • 25%
Level 1: Exercise Normal Precautions • 25%
Level 2: Exercise Increased Caution • 25%
Level 3: Reconsider Travel • 25%
Level 4: Do Not Travel • 25%