Loading...
Market
What will be China's next significant action regarding Ayungin Shoal by Mar 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase naval presence • 25%
Engage in diplomatic talks • 25%
Issue economic sanctions • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from Chinese authorities, AFP, PCG, and credible news sources
Story
Philippines Completes Resupply Mission to Ayungin Shoal with U.S. Coast Guard Support Despite Chinese Presence
Sep 27, 2024, 07:01 AM
The Armed Forces of the Philippines (AFP), with support from the Philippine Coast Guard (PCG), successfully completed a resupply mission to the BRP Sierra Madre at Ayungin Shoal on September 26. The mission, confirmed by AFP spokesperson Col Francel Padilla, involved delivering essential supplies and rotating personnel despite the presence of Chinese vessels in the vicinity. The U.S. Coast Guard has been advising and assisting Manila in these missions. The M/V Lapu Lapu was seen approaching BRP Sierra Madre during the operation.
View original story
Similar markets
Construction of new structures • 25%
Increased military patrols • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Other • 25%
New agreement reached • 25%
Philippines files protest • 25%
China imposes sanctions • 25%
Other • 25%
Formal protest to China • 25%
Military action or deployment • 25%
Appeal to international bodies • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Deploy another vessel • 25%
Engage in a new standoff • 25%
Withdraw all vessels • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Increased naval presence • 25%
Construction of new military installations • 25%
Conduct of large-scale military drills • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Naval encounter • 25%
Airspace violation • 25%
Fishing rights dispute • 25%
Other • 25%
Philippines removes vessel • 25%
Philippines maintains vessel • 25%
Joint management agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
China gains control • 25%
Philippines gains control • 25%
Joint control • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
New sanctions on Japan • 25%
Increased military presence near Taiwan • 25%
Formal diplomatic protest • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Philippines gains control • 25%
China gains control • 25%
Ongoing standoff • 25%
Joint control agreement • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Economic sanctions on Japan • 25%
No further action • 25%