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Market
What type of new business deals will be made between the US and Ukraine by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Energy resources • 25%
Military equipment • 25%
Technology transfer • 25%
Other • 25%
Official trade agreements or announcements by US or Ukrainian governments
Story
Zelensky Presents 'Victory Plan' to Trump; President-elect Shows Interest in Troop and Resource Proposals
Nov 11, 2024, 11:30 PM
Ukraine is developing a strategy to engage with US President-elect Donald Trump following his election victory, aiming to secure continued support amid concerns about potential shifts in US policy. In a meeting in September, President Volodymyr Zelensky presented Trump with a 'victory plan' that includes proposals such as replacing some US troops stationed in Europe with Ukrainian forces after the war and sharing Ukraine's critical natural resources with US and Western partners. Trump was reportedly 'interested' in these proposals. The plan seeks to appeal to Trump's interests in business deals, access to raw materials, and troop deployments. European allies and Ukraine fear that Trump might reduce support for Kyiv or broker a truce favoring Russia, potentially undermining Ukraine's position in the ongoing conflict.
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Deal postponed beyond March 31, 2024 • 25%
Deal canceled • 25%
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Economic Aid • 25%
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Full Russian withdrawal to February 2022 positions • 25%
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Conflict freeze without withdrawal • 25%
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Increased military aid from the US • 25%
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Ceasefire agreed • 25%
NATO membership pursued • 25%
Territory ceded • 25%
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