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What type of major international incident will involve the U.S. in 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Military conflict • 25%
Trade dispute • 25%
Diplomatic crisis • 25%
Other • 25%
Reports from credible international news agencies or government announcements
Story
George W. Bush Congratulates Trump on Winning Second Term, JD Vance as VP
Nov 6, 2024, 04:31 PM
Former U.S. President George W. Bush has congratulated Donald Trump on winning a second term in the 2024 presidential election. Bush acknowledged Trump's election as the 47th President of the United States and JD Vance's election as Vice President. In his statement, Bush highlighted the strong voter turnout as a sign of the health of the republic and the strength of democratic institutions. He also expressed gratitude to election officials, poll workers, and volunteers for their efforts during the election. Bush and former First Lady Laura Bush extended their prayers for the success of the new administration.
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Naval Confrontation • 25%
Airspace Violation • 25%
Cyber Attack • 25%
No Major Incident • 25%
Middle East conflict • 25%
North Korea tensions • 25%
Russia-Ukraine situation • 25%
Other • 25%
Russia and United States • 25%
United States and China • 25%
Russia and NATO • 25%
Other • 25%
Middle East • 25%
Asia-Pacific • 25%
Europe • 25%
Other • 25%
Middle East conflict • 25%
North Korea tensions • 25%
China-U.S. relations • 25%
Russia-Ukraine conflict • 25%
Trade dispute • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic row • 25%
Other • 25%
In the Gulf of Oman • 25%
In the Strait of Hormuz • 25%
In Israel • 25%
Other • 25%
China • 25%
Russia • 25%
Iran • 25%
North Korea • 25%
Military conflict • 25%
Major diplomatic agreement • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Other • 25%
Conflict with China • 25%
Conflict with Russia • 25%
Middle East tensions • 25%
Other region • 25%
China • 25%
Iran • 25%
Pakistan • 25%
Other • 25%
UN intervention • 25%
US-led intervention • 25%
EU-led intervention • 25%
No major intervention • 25%