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What steps will the Brazilian government take next in the 2022 coup plot investigation by the end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Further Arrests • 25%
Investigation Closed • 25%
Ongoing Investigation • 25%
No Action • 25%
Official government announcements or reports from credible news outlets
Story
PGR Opposes Release of General Mário Fernandes, One of 37 Indicted in 2022 Coup Plot to Assassinate Lula
Dec 25, 2024, 06:15 PM
The Brazilian Prosecutor General's Office (PGR) has opposed the release of General Mário Fernandes, who is under investigation for allegedly plotting to assassinate prominent political figures, including President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, Supreme Court Justice Alexandre de Moraes, and former Vice President Geraldo Alckmin. Fernandes is one of 37 individuals indicted by the Federal Police for a purported attempt to execute a coup d'état in 2022. The PGR's stance reflects ongoing concerns regarding the implications of releasing individuals involved in such serious allegations.
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No significant action • 25%
Military restructuring • 25%
Judicial reforms • 25%
Increased security measures • 25%
No action • 25%
Plea deal • 25%
Acquittal • 25%
Indictment • 25%
Convicted • 25%
Charged but acquitted • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Cleared of all charges • 25%
Inquiry inconclusive • 25%
Bolsonaro charged • 25%
Bolsonaro exonerated • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ongoing investigation • 25%
Multiple convictions • 25%
Few convictions • 25%
No convictions • 25%
Political figure • 25%
High-ranking military official • 25%
Business leader • 25%
Other • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Support the investigation • 25%
Oppose the investigation • 25%
Unaware of investigation • 25%
Valdemar Costa Neto • 25%
Marcelo Câmara • 25%
Sandro Nunes Vieira • 25%
Jair Bolsonaro • 25%
Ongoing investigation • 25%
No official stance • 25%
Acknowledgement of involvement • 25%
Denial of involvement • 25%
Imprisonment • 25%
Exoneration • 25%
Continued political career • 25%
Exile • 25%