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Market
What significant political or military actions will result from the Rostov oil depot fire by December 31, 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased military actions by Russia • 25%
Diplomatic actions by Ukraine • 25%
International sanctions or interventions • 25%
No significant actions • 25%
Official government statements or credible news sources
Story
Rostov Oil Depot Fire Burns for Fourth Day After Ukrainian Drone Strike
Aug 21, 2024, 08:23 AM
A massive fire at an oil depot in the Proletarsk area of the Rostov region, Russia, continues to burn for the fourth consecutive day. The fire, reportedly caused by a Ukrainian drone strike, has prompted the involvement of Russian Orthodox priests who have been praying at the site. Despite their efforts, the fire remains unextinguished. The priests, from the Volgodonsk Diocese, have conducted prayer services to the Virgin Mary in hopes of quelling the blaze.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No significant damage • 25%
Minor damage, operational • 25%
Moderate damage, operational • 25%
Severe damage, non-operational • 25%
Minimal damage (less than 10% of depot) • 25%
Moderate damage (10%-50% of depot) • 25%
Severe damage (50%-90% of depot) • 25%
Catastrophic damage (more than 90% of depot) • 25%
Drone strike • 25%
Accidental fire • 25%
Sabotage/Arson • 25%
Other • 25%
Full retake of Kursk • 25%
Partial control of Kursk • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Escalation to broader conflict • 25%
0 • 25%
1-5 • 25%
6-10 • 25%
More than 10 • 25%
Significant economic impact • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
International diplomatic response • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
