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What remedies will be imposed on Google as a result of the antitrust ruling by August 5, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Breakup of Google • 25%
Fines exceeding $10 billion • 25%
Restrictions on exclusive agreements • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from the DOJ or judicial rulings
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Google Loses DOJ Antitrust Suit Over Search Monopoly, Shares Fall 4.6%
Aug 5, 2024, 07:09 PM
Google has lost a significant antitrust lawsuit brought by the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ), with a federal judge ruling that the tech giant violated U.S. antitrust law. The ruling, issued by Judge Amit Mehta, found that Google maintained its monopoly power over general search services and general text advertising through exclusive distribution agreements. These agreements, including $26 billion in payments to make its search engine the default on smartphone web browsers, were deemed anticompetitive and in violation of Section 2 of the Sherman Act. This landmark decision marks the DOJ's first major victory against a monopoly in over 20 years and could potentially reshape the competitive landscape in the search and digital advertising markets. Remedies to come. Alphabet shares fell 4.6% following the ruling.
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Fines • 25%
Operational changes • 25%
Divestments • 25%
Other • 25%
Google is forced to divest assets • 25%
Google's exclusive deals are terminated • 25%
Google receives a fine without divestment or deal termination • 25%
No significant action taken • 25%
Breakup of Google • 25%
Restrictions on business practices • 25%
Fines • 25%
No significant actions • 25%
Accepted without changes • 25%
Accepted with modifications • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Restrictions on AI product distribution • 25%
Fines or financial penalties • 25%
Mandatory changes to business practices • 25%
Other • 25%
All remedies implemented • 25%
Some remedies implemented • 25%
No remedies implemented • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Breakup of Chrome • 25%
Breakup of Android • 25%
Fines and operational restrictions • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Financial penalty • 25%
Behavioral remedies • 25%
Structural remedies • 25%
No remedy imposed • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Appeal upheld • 25%
Appeal denied • 25%
Partial modification • 25%
Other • 25%
Fine • 25%
Breakup • 25%
Operational Restrictions • 25%
No Penalty • 25%