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What reason will UK, France, and Germany cite for reinstating sanctions against Iran by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Uranium enrichment levels • 25%
Lack of cooperation with IAEA • 25%
Regional security concerns • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Official statements from the UK, France, or Germany
Story
Iran Agrees to Increased IAEA Inspections at Fordow Nuclear Site Amid 60% Uranium Enrichment and Sanctions Threat from UK, France, Germany
Dec 12, 2024, 07:19 PM
Iran has agreed to increase inspections at its Fordow nuclear facility, as reported by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). This decision comes amid rising concerns over Iran's uranium enrichment activities, particularly its production of uranium enriched to 60% purity. In response to this development, the United Kingdom, France, and Germany have stated their readiness to reinstate sanctions against Iran if necessary. Iranian officials have indicated that while they are open to enhanced oversight, they will not accept additional monitoring beyond their existing commitments as long as sanctions remain in place. The discussions around these developments include insights from international relations experts and former diplomats.
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Similar markets
International diplomatic pressure • 25%
Other • 25%
Iran's military actions • 25%
Political pressure from Congress • 25%
Political instability • 25%
Nuclear weapon development • 25%
Non-compliance with existing agreements • 25%
Other • 25%
Ignore • 25%
Comply • 25%
Retaliate • 25%
Negotiate • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
France • 25%
Other • 25%
Germany • 25%
Britain • 25%