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What political impact will Boric allegations have on his administration by March 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Cabinet reshuffle • 25%
Boric resigns • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Other political consequences • 25%
Official government announcements or major news outlet reports
Story
Chile's President Boric Denies Sexual Harassment Allegations Including Diffusion of Intimate Images
Nov 26, 2024, 02:11 PM
Chilean President Gabriel Boric is facing a sexual harassment accusation stemming from an alleged incident that occurred over a decade ago. The complaint was filed on September 6, 2024, and the Chilean Prosecutor's Office has confirmed that an investigation is underway, with Boric currently considered an "imputado" in the case. Boric's lawyer, Jonatan Valenzuela Saldías, has categorically denied the allegations, stating that the President was actually a victim of "systematic harassment" by the accuser between 2013 and 2014. The defense has submitted evidence to the Prosecutor's Office, including 25 emails and explicit images allegedly sent unsolicited by the accuser to Boric. The accusation includes the alleged diffusion of intimate images. Government spokesperson Camila Vallejo has reiterated that the accusation is unfounded and that the administration has "nothing to hide." The opposition has criticized the government for not disclosing the complaint earlier, suggesting potential manipulation.
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Similar markets
Chilean political leaders • 25%
International leaders • 25%
Human rights organizations • 25%
No notable public support • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Strengthened position • 25%
Weakened position • 25%
Forced to resign • 25%
Maintains current status • 25%
Charges filed • 25%
No charges filed • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Majority believe guilty • 25%
Majority believe innocent • 25%
Public opinion divided • 25%
Insufficient data • 25%
Increased political influence • 25%
Decreased political influence • 25%
No significant change in political influence • 25%
Bolsonaro faces legal consequences • 25%
Majority Believe Guilty • 25%
Majority Believe Innocent • 25%
Divided Opinion • 25%
No Clear Opinion • 25%
No impact • 25%
Resigns as Prime Minister • 25%
Faces legal charges • 25%
Both resigns and faces legal charges • 25%
Major reshuffle of administration • 25%
Minor reshuffle of administration • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Administration collapse • 25%
Chile Vamos • 25%
Christian Democratic Party • 25%
Socialist Party • 25%
Other • 25%