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Market
What percentage of payload capacity will New Glenn utilize on its first flight on January 12, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than 50% capacity used • 25%
50-75% capacity used • 25%
75-100% capacity used • 25%
Full capacity used • 25%
Blue Origin's official announcements and payload manifest
Story
Blue Origin Delays New Glenn Rocket's First Orbital Flight to January 12, Aiming for First Stage Recovery
Jan 9, 2025, 01:24 PM
Blue Origin, founded by Jeff Bezos, is set to launch its New Glenn rocket for the first time, with the inaugural flight now scheduled for no earlier than Sunday, January 12. The launch was postponed from its original date of January 10 due to high sea states in the Atlantic, where the company plans to land the rocket's first stage on a barge named 'Jacklyn.' The New Glenn rocket, standing at 320 feet tall and 98 meters in height, aims to reach low-Earth orbit and deploy a Blue Ring Pathfinder, a demonstrator for future satellite deployment capabilities. The rocket is designed to carry up to 45 tonnes of payload into orbit, marking a significant step for Blue Origin as it seeks to compete with SpaceX in the commercial launch industry.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
New Glenn has higher capacity • 25%
Both have similar capacity • 25%
Data unavailable • 25%
Falcon 9 has higher capacity • 25%
Unsuccessful launch • 25%
Successful launch and recovery • 25%
Successful launch, unsuccessful recovery • 25%
Launch postponed • 25%
Successful orbit and booster landing • 25%
Failed orbit, successful booster landing • 25%
Failed orbit and booster landing • 25%
Successful orbit, failed booster landing • 25%
Successful flight and landing • 25%
Launch postponed • 25%
Launch failure • 25%
Successful flight but failed landing • 25%
Successful launch and landing • 25%
Launch postponed • 25%
Failed launch • 25%
Successful launch, failed landing • 25%
Second static fire test • 25%
Partnership announcement • 25%
New payload announcement • 25%
Second orbital launch • 25%
Other • 25%
Successful launch and landing • 25%
Successful launch, failed landing • 25%
Failed launch • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
