Loading...
Market
What percentage of Michigan voters were influenced by RFK Jr.'s endorsement of Trump in 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than 10% • 25%
10% to 20% • 25%
20% to 30% • 25%
More than 30% • 25%
Post-election surveys conducted by reputable polling organizations
Story
Supreme Court Rejects RFK Jr.'s Bid to Exit Michigan, Wisconsin Ballots; Gorsuch Dissents
Oct 29, 2024, 09:11 PM
Robert F. Kennedy Jr., after suspending his independent presidential campaign and endorsing former President Donald Trump, petitioned the Supreme Court to remove his name from the ballots in Michigan and Wisconsin, arguing that keeping him on violated his First Amendment rights. On Tuesday, in an 8-1 decision, the Supreme Court rejected his emergency appeals, declining to remove his name from the ballots in these key swing states. Justice Neil Gorsuch was the lone dissenter in the Michigan case, agreeing with the lower court's critique of the decision. Kennedy has pleaded with voters, 'DO NOT VOTE FOR ME,' aiming to avoid drawing votes away from Trump ahead of the November 5 election. As a result, Kennedy's name will remain on the ballots in both states.
View original story
Similar markets
RFK Jr. significantly impacts the results • 25%
RFK Jr. has minimal impact on the results • 25%
RFK Jr. has no impact on the results • 25%
Other • 25%
Less than 50% • 25%
50% to 59% • 25%
60% to 69% • 25%
70% or more • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Michigan • 33%
Wisconsin • 33%
Same percentage • 34%
Increase by 5 percentage points or more • 25%
Increase by less than 5 percentage points • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increase by 5% or more • 25%
Increase by less than 5% • 25%
No change • 25%
Decrease • 25%
Significant Positive Impact • 25%
Minor Positive Impact • 25%
No Impact • 25%
Negative Impact • 25%
0-2% • 25%
2-5% • 25%
5-10% • 25%
More than 10% • 25%
Increase significantly • 25%
Increase slightly • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decrease • 25%
Increase by 5% or more • 25%
Increase by less than 5% • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decrease • 25%
Less than 1% of national votes • 25%
1-5% of national votes • 25%
5-10% of national votes • 25%
More than 10% of national votes • 25%