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Market
What level will OpenAI reach in their AGI progress system by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Level 1 • 25%
Level 2 • 25%
Level 3 • 25%
Level 4 or higher • 25%
Official announcement from OpenAI or credible news sources
Story
OpenAI Introduces Five-Level System to Track Progress Toward AGI, Nearing Level 2
Jul 11, 2024, 07:53 PM
OpenAI has introduced a five-level system to track its progress toward achieving Artificial General Intelligence (AGI). This system aims to clarify the company's advancements and ensure safety as it develops AI software capable of outperforming humans. At an all-hands meeting, company executives informed employees that they believe they are nearing level 2 of this system. OpenAI's founding statement emphasizes their goal to advance digital intelligence for the benefit of humanity, unconstrained by financial return.
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Similar markets
Level 1: Chatbots • 25%
Level 2: Reasoners • 25%
Level 3: Agents • 25%
Level 4 or higher • 25%
Level 2: Reasoners • 25%
Level 3: Agents • 25%
Level 4: Innovators • 25%
Level 5: Organizations • 25%
Yes • 33%
No • 33%
Unclear/Disputed • 34%
Surpasses human performance in a specific task • 25%
Achieves a breakthrough in natural language processing • 25%
Reaches a new level of general AI • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
