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What leadership changes will occur in the Republican Party by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
New RNC Chair • 25%
New Senate Majority Leader • 25%
New House Speaker • 25%
No major changes • 25%
Official announcements from the Republican National Committee or major news outlets
Story
2024 Election Winner Trump Receives Unconditional Discharge as Democrats' Lawfare Aimed to Brand Him Felon
Jan 10, 2025, 03:37 PM
Donald Trump, who won the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election, received an unconditional discharge following a sentencing related to a case pursued by Democrats, which some have labeled as 'lawfare.' New York prosecutor Joshua Steinglass stated that the sentencing aimed to 'cement Trump's status as a convicted felon.' Despite these efforts, Trump's victory in the election has been attributed by some to the backlash against these legal actions, suggesting that the Democrats' strategy backfired, leading to Trump's mandate and his upcoming inauguration in 10 days.
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Other • 25%
Mitch McConnell • 25%
Kevin McCarthy • 25%
J.D. Vance • 25%
Matt Gaetz takes leadership role • 25%
No significant change • 25%
New leadership emerges • 25%
Kevin McCarthy returns to leadership • 25%
Temporary leadership arrangement • 25%
No changes • 25%
New co-chair appointed • 25%
Michael Whatley assumes sole leadership • 25%
Kevin McCarthy • 25%
Mike Johnson • 25%
Other • 25%
Steve Scalise • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
New leader elected • 25%
Temporary leadership • 25%
Current leader remains • 25%
Other • 25%
Michael Whatley • 25%
Ronna Romney McDaniel • 25%
Lara Trump • 25%
Mike Johnson • 25%
Kevin McCarthy • 25%
Ralph Norman • 25%
Other • 25%
Other • 25%
Kamala Harris becomes party leader • 25%
Gavin Newsom becomes party leader • 25%
Pete Buttigieg becomes party leader • 25%
Other • 25%
JD Vance • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Ron DeSantis • 25%
Other significant change • 25%
Parliament dissolved • 25%
Prime Minister resigns • 25%
No leadership change • 25%
No changes • 25%
Nunes remains CEO • 25%
Restructuring of executive team • 25%
New CEO appointed • 25%
