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VisitWhat kind of leadership change will occur within the IRGC Quds Force by end of 2024?
Major Leadership Change • 25%
Minor Leadership Change • 25%
No Leadership Change • 25%
Other • 25%
Reuters, BBC, Al Jazeera, official Iranian government announcements
Iran Arrests Dozens After Assassination of Hamas Leader Ismail Haniyeh
Aug 3, 2024, 04:22 AM
Iran has arrested more than two dozen individuals, including senior intelligence officers, military officials, and staff workers at a military-run guesthouse in Tehran, following the assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh. The arrests come in response to a significant security breach that enabled the killing. The crackdown highlights Iran's effort to address the breach and hold those responsible accountable. The guesthouse is run by the IRGC Quds Force.
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Hossein Salami replaced • 25%
New Deputy Commander appointed • 25%
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Qaani replaced • 25%
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New leader appointed • 25%
New Supreme Leader • 25%
New Military General • 25%
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Esmail Qaani remains • 25%
New Leader Appointed • 25%
Interim Leadership • 25%
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Replaced with more hardline leaders • 25%
Replaced with more moderate leaders • 25%
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Increased influence of Revolutionary Guard • 25%
Current regime remains in power • 25%
Regime change through internal uprising • 25%
Regime change through external intervention • 25%
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Sinwar replaced • 25%
Deif replaced • 25%
Nasrallah replaced • 25%
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Air Defense leadership change • 25%
Overall military leadership change • 25%
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Reorganization of military command • 25%
No changes in leadership • 25%
Increased military budget • 25%
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Esmail Qaani • 25%
New appointee from within IRGC • 25%
New appointee from outside IRGC • 25%
Position remains vacant • 25%
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No Significant Diplomatic Change • 25%
Increased Tensions with Israel • 25%
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