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What changes will occur in US-Israel relations following the death of the American citizen by end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Strengthened relations • 25%
Strained relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from the US government, and news reports
Story
IDF Recovers Bodies of 6 Hostages in Rafah Tunnel, Sparking Protests
Sep 1, 2024, 07:44 AM
The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) announced the recovery of the bodies of six hostages from a tunnel in the Rafah area of southern Gaza. These hostages, believed to have been taken by Hamas on October 7, were reportedly murdered shortly before Israeli troops reached them. Among the victims was a 23-year-old American citizen. The discovery has sparked protests and planned labor strikes in Israel over the failure to rescue the hostages in time. The IDF had intelligence suggesting the general location of the hostages, leading to the search and subsequent recovery in the tunnel complex.
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Strengthened alliance • 25%
Strained relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Temporary diplomatic freeze • 25%
Strengthened Relations • 25%
Weakened Relations • 25%
Status Quo Maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Relations remain the same • 33%
Relations improve • 33%
Relations worsen • 33%
No change • 25%
Minor diplomatic actions • 25%
Major diplomatic actions • 25%
Other • 25%
Relations improve • 25%
Relations remain unchanged • 25%
Relations worsen • 25%
Relations break • 25%
Increased support • 25%
Decreased support • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Other • 25%
Strengthened alliance • 25%
Tensions increased • 25%
Neutral impact • 25%
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Improved relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Strained relations • 25%
Severe diplomatic fallout • 25%
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No significant change • 25%
Tensions increase • 25%
Formal diplomatic actions or sanctions • 25%
Strengthened relations • 25%
Strained relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Temporary diplomatic tensions • 25%
Strengthened relationship • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Strained relationship • 25%
Severe diplomatic fallout • 25%