Loading...
Market
How will U.S.-Israel relations change following the document leak by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Strengthened alliance • 25%
Tensions increased • 25%
Neutral impact • 25%
Formal diplomatic changes • 25%
Official statements or policy changes announced by the U.S. State Department or Israeli government
Story
U.S. Probes Leak of Highly Classified Documents on Israel's Iran Attack Plans
Oct 20, 2024, 08:52 AM
The United States is investigating the unauthorized release of highly classified documents, dated October 15 and 16, that detail Israel's plans to attack Iran. The documents, labeled 'Top Secret' and 'NOFORN', appeared online on Friday on a Telegram account called 'Middle East Spectator'. Multiple U.S. officials, including three who confirmed their authenticity, have expressed deep concern over the leak. The documents reveal U.S. intelligence assessments based on satellite imagery of Israeli Air Force and Navy preparations for a potential strike against Iran. An investigation into the incident is underway.
View original story
Similar markets
Relations strengthen • 25%
Relations weaken • 25%
Relations remain unchanged • 25%
Other impact • 25%
Relations improve • 25%
Relations remain unchanged • 25%
Relations deteriorate • 25%
Relations severed • 25%
Strengthened cooperation • 25%
Strained relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Public disagreement • 25%
Strengthened relations • 25%
No change • 25%
Strained relations • 25%
Severed relations • 25%
Relations strengthen • 25%
Relations remain unchanged • 25%
Relations weaken • 25%
Other • 25%
Relations remain the same • 33%
Relations improve • 33%
Relations worsen • 33%
Relations improve • 25%
Relations remain unchanged • 25%
Relations worsen • 25%
Relations break • 25%
Strengthened military cooperation • 25%
Increased diplomatic tensions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Strengthened alliance • 25%
Strained relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Temporary diplomatic freeze • 25%
Strengthened relations • 25%
Strained relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Temporary diplomatic tensions • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Strained relations • 25%
Severe diplomatic fallout • 25%