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What changes will occur in Pentagon leadership by June 30, 2025, following Pete Hegseth's confirmation?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant leadership changes • 25%
Minor leadership changes • 25%
No leadership changes • 25%
Leadership changes delayed • 25%
Official Pentagon announcements or credible defense news outlets
Story
Senator Joni Ernst's Support Secures Pete Hegseth's Confirmation as Secretary of Defense
Jan 14, 2025, 11:45 PM
Senator Joni Ernst (R-IA) has announced her support for Pete Hegseth's confirmation as the next Secretary of Defense, ending previous uncertainty over her vote. Ernst, a combat veteran and sexual assault survivor, stated that Hegseth was adequately able to answer her questions, specifically addressing "woke issues" at the Pentagon. "After four years of weakness in the White House, Americans deserve a strong Secretary of Defense," Ernst told Fox News Digital. Her backing is seen as sealing Hegseth's confirmation, effectively ensuring his approval by the Senate.
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Major policy shift on women in combat • 25%
No significant policy changes • 25%
Other impacts • 25%
Increased focus on 'warrior culture' • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Focus on IndoPacific region • 25%
Military budget increase • 25%
Reduction in overseas deployments • 25%
Other • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Confirmed • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Pending • 25%
Withdrawn • 34%
Confirmed • 33%
Rejected • 33%
Joni Ernst • 25%
Mark Esper • 25%
Lloyd Austin • 25%
Other • 25%
No decision by deadline • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Confirmed • 25%
Pending • 25%
No Comment • 25%
Opposed • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Cybersecurity Initiatives • 25%
Defense Budget Reallocation • 25%
Military Personnel Policy • 25%
International Defense Cooperation • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Nomination Pending • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Confirmed • 25%
