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What changes will occur in military cooperation between North Korea and Russia by December 31, 2025?
2
South Korea•National Intelligence Service•NIS•North Korean•Russia•Ukraine•South Korean•Kursk•Pyongyang•Ukrainian•Volodymyr Zelensky•Kyiv•Russian•Moscow
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased cooperation • 25%
Decreased cooperation • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Cooperation ends • 25%
Reports from international intelligence agencies or news outlets
Story
Seoul Reports 300 North Korean Soldiers Killed, 2,700 Wounded in Ukraine Fighting
Jan 13, 2025, 06:02 AM
South Korea's National Intelligence Service (NIS) has reported that approximately 300 North Korean soldiers have been killed and 2,700 wounded while fighting in Russia's war against Ukraine. According to South Korean lawmakers briefed by the NIS, North Korean troops have been deployed to support Russia's military efforts, particularly in the Kursk region of western Russia, where they have participated in large-scale attacks. The NIS also indicated that Pyongyang has instructed its soldiers to avoid capture by any means, including committing suicide. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky announced that Kyiv has captured two North Korean soldiers, releasing video of the injured combatants. Additionally, a diary recovered from a deceased North Korean soldier reportedly reveals that Russian forces are using the troops as 'human bait' in their operations. The deployment of North Korean soldiers underscores the ongoing cooperation between Pyongyang and Moscow in the conflict.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Increased military aid to Russia • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Deterioration of relations • 25%
International sanctions • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Focus on cyber warfare • 25%
Increased aggression towards South Korea • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Enhanced missile testing • 25%
Other military outcomes • 25%
Increased military presence in East Asia • 25%
Development of new military technology • 25%
No significant military developments • 25%
No Change • 25%
Increase in Support • 25%
Decrease in Support • 25%
Complete Withdrawal • 25%
Joint military exercises • 25%
Deployment of more troops • 25%
Other • 25%
Arms trade agreement • 25%
Military alliance • 25%
Cultural exchange • 25%
Economic cooperation • 25%
Other • 25%
Withdrawal of troops • 25%
Continued engagement with no change • 25%
Increased troop deployment • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Other • 25%
Battlefield experience • 25%
Weapon modernization • 25%
Economic aid from Russia • 25%
Increased global scrutiny • 25%
Other • 25%
Strengthened bilateral relations • 25%
Increased regional tension • 25%
Other • 25%
Missiles • 25%
Ammunition • 25%
Personnel • 25%